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Parameter estimation of random variables distribution
Šimková, Barbora ; Mošna, František (advisor) ; Novotná, Jarmila (referee)
of the bachelor's thesis Title: Parameter estimation of random variables distribution Author: Bc. Barbora Šimková Department: Department of Mathematics and Mathematical Education Supervisor: RNDr. František Mošna, Dr. Abstract: The subject of this thesis is to compare basic methods by which it is possible to calculate point estimates of discrete and continuous probability distributions. The work deals with the analysis of the two methods - the method of moments and maximum like- lihood method. These methods are used for point estimates of probability distributions parameters. The method of moments studies the comparison between the theoretical and sample moments of a random variable. The method of maximum likelihood is another alternative for the calculation of point estimates, which uses the classical ap- proach of finding the maximum of a function, using the properties of random selection. These methods of calculation are based on statistical methods and could be useful for extending the basic course on probability and statistics at Charles University's Fac- ulty of Education. The work is an overview of the estimated parameters of the basic distribution and compares the quality of two basic methods for their estimation. Keywords: parameter estimation, distribution of random variables, maximum...
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Scenario generation for multidimensional distributions
Olos, Marek ; Dupačová, Jitka (advisor) ; Kaňková, Vlasta (referee)
Some methods for generating scenarios from multidimensional distribution assume we are able to generate scenarios from the one-dimensional distribution. We dedicate chapter 3 to this problem. At the end of the chapter, we provide references for applicable algorithms. Chapter 4 is focused on selected methods for generating scenarios from multidimensional distributions. In chapter 4.3, we introduce an algorithm for generating scenarios, which do not use any assumption about the distribution, except the first four moments and correlations to be specified. A method of generating scenarios based on approximation of multivariate normal distribution by the binomial distribution is described in chapter 4.5. Dimension reduction technique using principal components is presented in chapter 4.4. The algorithm is presented under the assumption of normal distribution. In chapter 4.6, we introduce the basics of the copula theory and a method for generating scenarios by C-vine copula. In chapter 5, we implement selected methods for generating scenarios for the estimation of daily value at risk for selected indexes and we discuss the results. Powered by TCPDF (www.tcpdf.org)
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Parameter estimation for Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process
Martinková, Sandra ; Kříž, Pavel (advisor) ; Maslowski, Bohdan (referee)
The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process has countless practical applications most of which rely on having previously estimated the drift parameter. The literature offers two basic estima- tors - the least-squares estimator, which coincides with the maximum-likelihood estimator for Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, and the method-of-moments estimator. However, the sim- ilarity in asymptotic properties of these estimators means that choosing which one to use is more of a random guess than an educated decision. This thesis focuses on finding dif- ferences between the two estimators when applied to the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck trajectories generated in R. The simulation study performed suggests that the method-of-moments is better suited when the initial condition is close to zero even if the observations are col- lected sparsely. On the other hand, the precision of the least-squares estimator is better when the initial condition is further away from zero, but it still requires having dense data points. Under the conditions of this study, the least-squares estimator performs better compared to the method-of-moments if the absolute value of the initial condition is large. On the other hand, the method-of-moments is superior in cases where we have infrequent observations and long time horizon.
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Scenario generation for multidimensional distributions
Olos, Marek ; Dupačová, Jitka (advisor) ; Kaňková, Vlasta (referee)
Some methods for generating scenarios from multidimensional distribution assume we are able to generate scenarios from the one-dimensional distribution. We dedicate chapter 3 to this problem. At the end of the chapter, we provide references for applicable algorithms. Chapter 4 is focused on selected methods for generating scenarios from multidimensional distributions. In chapter 4.3, we introduce an algorithm for generating scenarios, which do not use any assumption about the distribution, except the first four moments and correlations to be specified. A method of generating scenarios based on approximation of multivariate normal distribution by the binomial distribution is described in chapter 4.5. Dimension reduction technique using principal components is presented in chapter 4.4. The algorithm is presented under the assumption of normal distribution. In chapter 4.6, we introduce the basics of the copula theory and a method for generating scenarios by C-vine copula. In chapter 5, we implement selected methods for generating scenarios for the estimation of daily value at risk for selected indexes and we discuss the results. Powered by TCPDF (www.tcpdf.org)
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Fractional moments of random variables
Brisudová, Katarína ; Pawlas, Zbyněk (advisor) ; Dvořák, Jiří (referee)
The aim of this thesis is to formulate issues regarding fractional mo- ments of random variables. Fractional moments are calculated for basic discrete and continuous distributions. These calculations are performed analytically or numerically using an appropriate software if a simple form does not exist. The thesis also formulates the principle of method of moments and its variations using fractional moments instead of integers and the effectiveness of this variation is also discussed. 1
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Parameter estimation of random variables distribution
Šimková, Barbora ; Mošna, František (advisor) ; Novotná, Jarmila (referee)
of the bachelor's thesis Title: Parameter estimation of random variables distribution Author: Bc. Barbora Šimková Department: Department of Mathematics and Mathematical Education Supervisor: RNDr. František Mošna, Dr. Abstract: The subject of this thesis is to compare basic methods by which it is possible to calculate point estimates of discrete and continuous probability distributions. The work deals with the analysis of the two methods - the method of moments and maximum like- lihood method. These methods are used for point estimates of probability distributions parameters. The method of moments studies the comparison between the theoretical and sample moments of a random variable. The method of maximum likelihood is an- other alternative for the calculation of point estimates, which uses the classical approach of finding the maximum of a function, using the properties of random selection. These methods of calculation are based on statistical methods and could be used as an inter- isting extencion of the basic course on probability and statistics at Charles University's Faculty of Education. The work is an overview of the estimated parameters of the basic distribution and compares the quality of two basic methods for their estimation. Keywords: parameter estimation, distribution of random...
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Parameter estimation of random variables distribution
Šimková, Barbora ; Mošna, František (advisor) ; Novotná, Jarmila (referee)
of the bachelor's thesis Title: Parameter estimation of random variables distribution Author: Bc. Barbora Šimková Department: Department of Mathematics and Mathematical Education Supervisor: RNDr. František Mošna, Dr. Abstract: The subject of this thesis is to compare basic methods by which it is possible to calculate point estimates of discrete and continuous probability distributions. The work deals with the analysis of the two methods - the method of moments and maximum like- lihood method. These methods are used for point estimates of probability distributions parameters. The method of moments studies the comparison between the theoretical and sample moments of a random variable. The method of maximum likelihood is another alternative for the calculation of point estimates, which uses the classical ap- proach of finding the maximum of a function, using the properties of random selection. These methods of calculation are based on statistical methods and could be useful for extending the basic course on probability and statistics at Charles University's Fac- ulty of Education. The work is an overview of the estimated parameters of the basic distribution and compares the quality of two basic methods for their estimation. Keywords: parameter estimation, distribution of random variables, maximum...
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